Toluca Premier vs Guadalajara Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
RCU
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UAP
4 - 1
TOL
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IRA
2 - 2
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
ATL
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAC
3 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
QUE
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |