Toluca Premier vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOL
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 2
IPC
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
VER
0 - 0
CAZ
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 0
IRA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
JAG
2 - 1
CAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PAC
73%
17%
11%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |