Toluca Premier vs Monarcas Morelia Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AEM
0 - 1
TOL
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
IRA
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
QUE
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monarcas Morelia Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
REB
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
QUE
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
QUE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 2
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MON
3 - 2
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |