Toluca Premier vs Cachorros U. De G. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
REB
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 2
QUE
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
PAC
2 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cachorros U. De G.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 3
REB
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAC
0 - 1
QUE
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAC
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAC
1 - 1
TEM
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CAC
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |