Tolosa CF vs Real Unión B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RSO
1 - 1
TOL
33%
26%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 2
AFT
39%
26%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALÑ
3 - 5
TOL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 2
PAS
45%
25%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
1 - 0
TOL
21%
23%
57%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Real Unión B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BTG
2 - 1
REA
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
REA
3 - 0
RSO
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AFT
1 - 1
REA
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REA
3 - 1
ALÑ
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 4
REA
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |