Tolosa CF vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SES
0 - 0
TOL
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 1
RUN
14%
21%
65%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
POR
4 - 1
TOL
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 1
DEU
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SOD
2 - 1
TOL
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GER
2 - 1
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
GER
0 - 1
ATH
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 2
GER
37%
24%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GER
5 - 0
ARI
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 0
GER
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |