Tolosa CF vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CDT
3 - 2
TOL
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
TOL
1 - 0
REC
77%
13%
10%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ALF
3 - 0
TOL
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
TOL
2 - 5
EIB
56%
21%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOL
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
AUR
2 - 1
EIB
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 2
AUR
50%
22%
28%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
AUR
1 - 0
RUN
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ALA
2 - 2
AUR
81%
12%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
AUR
3 - 0
LOG
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |