Tolosa CF vs Bergara KE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
HON
60%
22%
17%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
TOL
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 0
MON
66%
20%
13%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
URO
0 - 4
TOL
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
ATX
41%
28%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bergara KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
BKE
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BKE
0 - 0
RSO
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
AFT
0 - 1
BKE
65%
21%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BKE
1 - 0
ALÑ
38%
26%
36%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PAS
2 - 2
BKE
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |