Tolosa CF vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
BTG
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 3
RSO
40%
27%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AFT
0 - 0
TOL
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
ALÑ
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATX
1 - 0
REA
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RSO
2 - 0
ATX
52%
25%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ATX
2 - 2
AFT
44%
26%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALÑ
0 - 1
ATX
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATX
2 - 2
PAS
56%
23%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |