Tolosa U19 vs SD Leioa U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
15º
15º
47
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 34 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tolosa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 1
IND
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 0
TOL
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 1
BCF
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZAR
6 - 1
TOL
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
43%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SD Leioa U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SDL
0 - 0
CDA
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BCF
0 - 3
SDL
41%
22%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SDL
4 - 1
ZAR
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
SDL
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SDL
4 - 0
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |