Tölö vs IK Tord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
11º
42
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tölö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TIF
3 - 0
LIS
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
TIF
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
2 - 1
TIF
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TIF
5 - 0
HIT
42%
21%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 1
TIF
27%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
IK Tord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
IKT
1 - 1
VAR
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HIT
1 - 3
IKT
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 3
IKT
15%
18%
67%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
IKT
3 - 1
OBK
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
IKT
1 - 0
HFF
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +3 |