Tölö vs Astrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
75.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
11º
46
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tölö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IKT
1 - 0
TIF
57%
20%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 0
TIF
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TIF
3 - 2
VAR
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HIT
4 - 0
TIF
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TIF
0 - 0
OBK
10%
14%
76%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
AST
3 - 2
VAR
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HIT
1 - 1
AST
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LAH
0 - 1
AST
6%
12%
82%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
HFF
46%
25%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |