Tollygunge vs Army XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tollygunge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
DEM
2 - 0
TOL
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 4
MBS
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 1
MAH
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 2
SPO
22%
24%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 3
JCT
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Army XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
EAS
3 - 0
ARM
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2013 |
GTG
2 - 3
ARM
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
SPB
3 - 1
ARM
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MOH
2 - 3
ARM
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |