Toledo Olivos vs Sporting Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo Olivos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
FSF
3 - 2
TOL
77%
13%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
HAR
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ASO
3 - 0
TOL
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
4 - 6
STO
52%
20%
28%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAJ
7 - 2
TOL
68%
16%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 4
ESS
28%
19%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 5
FSF
36%
20%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
SAL
32%
19%
49%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 4
ASO
78%
12%
10%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
STO
2 - 8
SAL
32%
21%
48%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |