Toledo Olivos vs Morata B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo Olivos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LOE
1 - 2
TOL
21%
18%
61%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
8 - 1
HVI
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 0
VIL
80%
12%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 0
RIV
63%
18%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CRV
2 - 3
TOL
37%
20%
43%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morata B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 3
CRV
42%
21%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 0
SBM
35%
20%
45%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LOE
6 - 0
MOR
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
4 - 1
MOR
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 5
CDR
19%
18%
63%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |