Tokyo U23 vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokyo U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOK
4 - 1
SAG
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GOS
1 - 1
TOK
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KAT
0 - 0
TOK
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOK
2 - 0
YSC
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 0
TOK
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRU
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RYK
2 - 1
PAR
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
OIT
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 2
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 3
CER
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |