Tokai University Kumamot vs Mitsubishi Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tokai University Kumamot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
TMF
3 - 0
TUK
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 57 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
TCJ
2 - 2
TUK
39%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
REN
4 - 0
TUK
89%
9%
2%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIS
5 - 0
TUK
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 75 | 63 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TUK
1 - 0
JUC
36%
24%
39%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mitsubishi Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
FCI
1 - 0
MIN
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | 0 |