ToU vs Yllätys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+136%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ToU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEH
3 - 0
TOU
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
ZUL
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
7 - 1
AFK
79%
13%
9%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PK3
9 - 1
TOU
75%
14%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 3
NIE
33%
21%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Yllätys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YLA
0 - 2
LEH
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 1
YLA
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
YLA
7 - 1
AFK
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AFK
3 - 1
YLA
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
YLA
1 - 0
PK3
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |