ToU vs Yllätys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+136%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ToU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
KIN
2 - 1
TOU
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEH
3 - 0
TOU
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 1
ZUL
24%
21%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 5
PK3
28%
20%
52%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 2
KAP
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Yllätys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
YLA
2 - 4
LEH
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 2
YLA
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
YLA
1 - 3
MIK
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
YLA
1 - 2
MIK
14%
17%
69%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
YLA
1 - 3
BET
31%
21%
48%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |