Togo U23 vs Iraq U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
TOG
0 - 3
CIV
17%
19%
64%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
UZB
5 - 3
TOG
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
TOG
1 - 0
TJK
57%
20%
23%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
UAE
0 - 4
IRQ
29%
23%
49%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
0 - 1
IRQ
36%
23%
41%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CIV
4 - 0
IRQ
23%
21%
56%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
IRQ
38%
23%
39%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
IRQ
1 - 2
OMA
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |