TOGB vs UVS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
54.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SJC
4 - 3
TOG
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOG
1 - 3
ALP
15%
19%
67%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PFC
2 - 2
TOG
28%
23%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOG
3 - 3
KOC
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
HMS
3 - 3
TOG
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UVS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UVS
4 - 1
NIE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SJC
1 - 0
UVS
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UVS
0 - 2
VEL
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALP
4 - 2
UVS
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UVS
6 - 0
POO
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |