TOGB vs PFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOGB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
KOC
2 - 1
TOG
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
HMS
61%
21%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HVV
2 - 1
TOG
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TOG
2 - 3
SJC
16%
20%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCN
3 - 0
TOG
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PFC
1 - 1
SJC
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALP
4 - 0
PFC
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FCB
5 - 1
PFC
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PFC
1 - 3
NIE
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VOC
2 - 0
PFC
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |