Toen FS vs Sporting Carballino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
TOE
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOE
1 - 2
CRE
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CMI
1 - 2
TOE
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 2
TOE
41%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOE
0 - 2
OUT
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Carballino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SCA
2 - 2
CEN
61%
18%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
OUT
2 - 0
SCA
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
7 - 0
CHA
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
4 - 1
RAZ
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
SCA
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |