Toen FS vs Soutopenedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OUT
1 - 2
TOE
73%
17%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TOE
3 - 2
POU
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TAB
1 - 1
TOE
58%
22%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COL
2 - 2
TOE
67%
19%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TOE
1 - 3
VIL
52%
23%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Soutopenedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
5 - 2
SAN
37%
24%
40%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OUT
2 - 0
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
CEN
15%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 6
RAN
23%
22%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SEI
2 - 1
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |