Toen FS vs Ourense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
53.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BUB
0 - 3
TOE
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TOE
1 - 1
VIL
28%
21%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 0
TOE
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
TOE
1 - 1
BMI
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 2
TOE
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ourense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OUR
3 - 3
SOU
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
OUR
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 8
OUR
15%
17%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
OUR
7 - 0
BUB
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
OUR
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |