Toen FS vs Os Chaos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RAZ
1 - 2
TOE
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOE
1 - 2
MOR
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
APE
2 - 1
TOE
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
TOE
2 - 0
SCA
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 2
TOE
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Os Chaos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 4
CEN
24%
20%
57%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
4 - 2
CHA
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
CHA
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 4
APE
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SCA
7 - 0
CHA
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |