Toen FS vs Leiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COL
2 - 2
TOE
67%
19%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TOE
1 - 3
VIL
52%
23%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
TOE
28%
24%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TOE
3 - 1
ARR
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RUA
1 - 1
TOE
57%
21%
21%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
COR
1 - 1
LEI
44%
23%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LEI
1 - 1
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 2
LEI
15%
19%
67%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 0
CEN
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 7
LEI
11%
17%
73%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |