Toen FS vs A Peroxa B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SCA
3 - 0
TOE
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOE
2 - 1
SAL
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 0
TOE
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOE
3 - 1
CMI
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
A Peroxa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OUT
3 - 0
APE
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
APE
4 - 0
CHA
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RAZ
1 - 2
APE
23%
21%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PIN
3 - 5
APE
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
APE
3 - 0
SAL
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |