Todi vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 2
TOD
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 1
TOD
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TOD
3 - 1
ASD
55%
22%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
TOD
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TOD
2 - 3
ORV
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
3 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
SCA
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MON
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |