Todi vs FiesoleCal... analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 1
TOD
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PIA
2 - 1
TOD
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TOD
0 - 3
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 0
TOD
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 2
DER
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FiesoleCal...
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
FIE
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FIE
1 - 3
CAS
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 3
FIE
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FIE
2 - 2
PIE
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |