Todesfelde vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
11º
1º
32
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WEF
3 - 1
TOD
5%
10%
85%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ECK
0 - 3
TOD
10%
14%
77%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOD
5 - 1
VFR
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 4
TOD
11%
15%
75%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ECZ
1 - 4
TOD
4%
8%
88%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
ITK
22%
20%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
DOR
60%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 5
EIC
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 2
HEI
19%
18%
62%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |