Tochigi Uva vs Sagawa Shiga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
TOC
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HON
3 - 0
TOC
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
2 - 1
KAM
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
4 - 0
SAG
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SAG
4 - 0
MIO
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
SAG
0 - 1
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
SAG
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |