Tochigi Uva vs Nara Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 1
AZU
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
TOC
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 2
KAG
18%
21%
62%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAG
3 - 2
TOC
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 4
HON
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Nara Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 0
YOK
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SON
2 - 1
NAR
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 2
HON
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
OSA
0 - 1
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
NAR
0 - 1
RKD
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |