Tochigi Uva vs Azul Claro Numazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 4
SON
13%
22%
66%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 4
VAN
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OSA
2 - 1
TOC
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SON
2 - 1
TOC
77%
17%
6%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 1
YOK
31%
26%
44%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
AZU
4 - 2
RKD
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAG
0 - 1
AZU
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 0
URA
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AZU
2 - 1
HON
58%
24%
19%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FAG
1 - 0
AZU
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |