Tocha vs Academico Viseu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COI
3 - 2
TOC
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
CIN
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
TOC
69%
18%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
BUS
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Academico Viseu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ACV
2 - 1
COI
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
ACV
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACV
2 - 0
TOU
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 0
ACV
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACV
1 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |