Tocantis Miracema vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
71.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
TMI
61%
20%
20%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
3 - 0
TMI
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TMI
0 - 2
CAP
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BLH
2 - 3
TMI
11%
14%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BVT
2 - 3
TMI
12%
15%
72%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
AFC
5 - 1
TOC
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
TOC
2 - 1
GAS
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEC
5 - 2
TOC
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
0 - 0
MEC
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 0
MOT
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |