Tocantins vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
2 - 0
TOC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 0
PAR
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
3 - 1
TOC
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 0
CEC
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
TOC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 1
TOC
57%
22%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 2
GUR
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 1
INT
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |