Tocantins vs Paraíso EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
TOC
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 2
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
TOC
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
4 - 3
GUA
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 2
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraíso EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
INT
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 2
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |