Tocantins vs Palmas FR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 3
CAP
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOC
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
INT
1 - 2
TOC
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
3 - 2
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
PAL
36%
25%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
GUR
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 3
CAP
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |