Tocantins vs Kabure EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 1
AAA
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 2
TOC
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 0
ARA
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOC
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kabure EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
KEC
0 - 0
GUR
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
AAA
3 - 1
KEC
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
KEC
1 - 4
TUB
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 0
KEC
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
KEC
2 - 1
SAO
54%
22%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |