Tocantins vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOC
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOC
5 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
TOC
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
INT
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 2
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
GUR
3 - 0
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
GUR
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
GUR
3 - 1
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
CAP
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |