Tocantins vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 4
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
TOC
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
TOC
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
TOC
0 - 2
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOC
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 2
GUR
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 2
TOC
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
GUR
39%
27%
35%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 2
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUR
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |