Tocantins vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 2
PAL
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
4 - 1
TOC
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
TOC
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 0
ARA
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 4
INT
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
GUR
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 2
TOC
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
4 - 1
CEC
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUR
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |