Tocantins vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
TOC
3 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
TOC
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
TOC
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CEC
2 - 2
TOC
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 1
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
TOC
0 - 3
GUR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
CEC
1 - 0
GUR
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GUR
0 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
GUR
4 - 1
ARA
72%
17%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
INT
2 - 2
GUR
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |