Tocantins vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 2
CRI
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
REC
2 - 2
TOC
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MOT
1 - 1
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 4
MOT
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 4
REC
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -2 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
GUR
0 - 1
INT
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
GUR
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GUR
5 - 1
PAL
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
INT
1 - 2
GUR
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUR
34%
24%
43%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |