Tocantins vs Guaraí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
TOC
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CEC
2 - 2
TOC
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUR
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TOC
2 - 2
PAL
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
INT
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
TOC
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEC
46%
24%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 1
GUA
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |