Tocantins vs AA Alvorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
MEC
3 - 1
TOC
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PAL
8 - 1
TOC
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TOC
0 - 4
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
GUR
2 - 3
AAA
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARA
27%
24%
50%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TMI
1 - 1
AAA
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
AAA
1 - 2
CEC
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MEC
5 - 2
AAA
72%
17%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |