Tocantinópolis vs Tuna Luso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TOC
3 - 0
INT
57%
24%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 2
UAC
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UAC
0 - 1
TOC
15%
17%
68%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
CAS
10%
19%
72%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Tuna Luso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
AGU
3 - 2
TUN
12%
18%
70%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
REM
1 - 1
TUN
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TUN
1 - 2
REM
25%
22%
53%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
BPA
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |