Tocantinópolis vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
45.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
TOC
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
TOC
3 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
TOC
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 2
INT
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 0
SDS
20%
19%
61%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
3 - 3
GUR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUV
7 - 0
SDS
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 0
LUV
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 1
SDS
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |