Tocantinópolis vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
TOC
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 2
TOC
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
ARA
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOT
16%
23%
62%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
TDC
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
88%
10%
3%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
9%
20%
72%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 2
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |